day one hundred sixty-three (13. 714)

In another edition of this is not how anything works, Trump declared that once Iran is defeated—again imminent for the umpteenth time—the Strait of Hormuz will become US territory. Tehran counters that the vital waterway is under their control and cannot be seized, especially by a campaign speech, adding that whilst the agreement with Muskat may be concluded soon, those negotiations have nothing to do with Washington and America and her allies will remain under restrictions until the blockade ends and reparations are paid. Repatriation of the Panama Canal seemed to be a non-starter so maybe this delusional addition to the American empire might be a consolation-despite pledges to still make fetch happen. Market manipulation—though running of the fumes of AI driven trades and a derivative, speculative stocks—is losing cache as the US president once again dismisses the financial hardships of the underclass as the hierarchy sheds confidence as well. Hezbollah rejects ongoing negotiations between Tel Aviv and Beirut, saying that they are equal to Lebanon surrendering to Israel.

day one hundred sixty-two (13. 711)

Rebuffing criticism regarding the welfare of sailors in the Persian gulf, US secretary of war Hegseth claims America can maintain its blockade of Iranian ports indefinitely as the commerce department announces plans to further isolate Tehran economically, though it’s already starting at near zero and only needs to eke out survival one day at a time and outlast the US financial trickery until the markets no longer accept Trump’s word as fiat. Also splintering with traditional allies—those required for upping the latest round of sanctions, American announces a multi-modal drone task force, Falcon Strike. As traffic through the Strait of Hormuz continues to stagnate, Norway‘s foreign minister joins a growing chorus calling the joint US-Israeli adventure a regressive failure, whilst US consumer sentiment falters on hopes of any relief or recovery any time soon. France condemns Israeli settlers for occupying the homes of evicted Palestinian, whilst Netanyahu calls the UK the Islamic Republic of Britain—amplifying a xenophobic dog-whistle, adding that the UK is the first nuclear capable Muslim country.

day one hundred sixty-one (13. 709)

In an unprecedentedly long deployment starting in the Caribbean with the invasion of Venezuela and then moving to the Middle Eastern theatre with no shore leave, care packages and beset with plumbing problems and contaminated water, more than one sailor has reportedly jumped overboard from the USS Abraham Lincoln, with the American Congress demanding to be allowed to inspect conditions. Barely deigning the counterclaims by the Trump administration, Tehran reasserts that it is in full control of the Strait of Hormuz and is not entertaining further negotiations. After twenty months and an extended maternity leave, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt abruptly resigns after being used as a decoy on the president‘s return flight from the NATO summit in Ankara—not only foregoing the gifted Air Force One out of an abundance of caution or nostalgia but also secreted onboard a third plane in a catering truck, with many members of the press corps and cabinet officials dispatched as diversion for a paranoid Trump fearing assassins.

day one hundred sixty (13. 707)

The EU issues another condemnation of continued political executions in Iran whilst Lebanon outlaws the death penalty. Houthi rebels maintain their hold on the junctions to the Red Sea. A grounded Russian tanker is leaking oil off of the coast of Oman—threatening environmental damage greater than the Exxon Valdez. Even if markets are still failing to acknowledge realities, the the International Energy Agency assesses that the world is burning through petroleum reserves.

day one hundred fifty eight (13. 703)

Reportedly, recompense to the insult to Carter and the grace and favour of Reagan in timing the release of the hostages to Reagan‘s 1981 inauguration, the Revolutionary Guard claims that they will engage in no further negotiations with Trump and will wait until the next administration takes office in January of 2029 to resume talks—Tehran assuming that there will be future elections in the US and/or Trump lasts the rest of his term. Meanwhile, seemingly completely disconnected with reality, Trump declares that the seaway has been fully demined and that the Hormuz is open under American control—with the US seeking monetary compensation from Iran.

day one-hundred fifty-one (13. 686)

In retaliation for strikes on cargo ships in the Caspian, Iran says it was ready to attack Ukraine but reconsidered and called off the strikes. Despite having just walked back his latest threats to allow for negotiations that Tehran denies were even on the table, Trump says that the Islamic Republic now has its last chance to make a deal or surrender and face total “decapitation”—again. Iran reiterates its refusal to negotiate under duress and the blockade of its ports against the terms of the Memorandum of Understanding, repeating it is only in talks with Oman over the administration of the Strait of Hormuz. The Trump White House makes a deal with defence contractors to restock the dwindling supplies of Patriot and THAAD missiles.

day one-hundred eight (13. 522)

As politicians and the press debate the merits and durability of Trump’s grand deal with Tehran (the administration hinting it will publish the terms of the MOU ahead of the formal signing ceremony), a Russian frigate, known to escort its shadow fleet of oil tankers through the Channel, fired warning shots at a pleasure yacht off the Island of Wight. The G7 vows for new sanctions against Russia amid optimism for peace in Ukraine. Elon Musk threatens to sue German public broadcaster ZDF for its reporting on how he is stoking anti-immigrant sentiment in Belfast. Scepticism mounts—everyone is angry and dissatisfied for different but overlapping reasons—over the peace plan with Iran insisting that any accord is contingent on IDF withdrawal from Lebanon—the rift between Washington and Tel Aviv apparently widening as Trump criticises Netanyahu and says that Syria would do a better job in extracting Hezbollah without killing everyone else in the process. Destruction in Beirut persists but many displaced Lebanese are trying to return home.

day one-hundred seven (13. 519)

Far from settled or over with the MOU digitally signed, unless America is accepting their defeat in this adventure, the chronology continues. With no force behind it, the grand deal is akin to an empty table of contents, waiting to be limned by a negotiation process that will prove thornier than the talks—or lack of dialogue—that brought us to this juncture. The terms, not fully disclosed to the public, provides a cessation of strikes in Lebanon but provides no timeline for IDFs withdrawal from southern Beirut. The Israeli government, with Netanyahu also using the opportunity to announce his reelection campaign, has said it will not leave its security zones established in Lebanon, Syria or Gaza, and the country’s defence ministry denounced the draft agreement as not only bad for Israel but for bad for the entire world, accusing US special envoys Kushner and Witkoff of driving a wedge between Washington and Tel Aviv. In addition to sanction relief, apparently with no strings attached though Trump says otherwise—saying a lot things—with its own funds unfrozen, the US tax payers will be remitting some three-hundred billion dollars in reparations under the aegis of an Iranian freedom fund, without reform or the promised regime change nor appropriating oil revenues to repair gulf nation energy infrastructure damaged in the war, with monitoring of its nuclear programme and the matter of its stockpile of enriched uranium deferred for negotiations yet to come. The Strait of Hormuz will supposedly be open to all traffic without restriction as well as Iranian ports—tensions between India and the US flaring over the refusal to apologise for attacking an Indian tanker accused of violating the US naval blockade—on Friday following the formal signing ceremony, with all parties uphold their commitments. Blasts were heard in the area of Qeshm island and the strait.

bread and circuses (13. 513)

Promising to end the stalemate in Iran and bring about peace in the Middle East for the war he started as a present to himself, Trump is throwing an incredibly crass spectacle on the south lawn of the White House that would make Caligula blanch at the idea for his birthday. His scheduled cage-fight inside of a mesh-wire octagon with gladiators (albeit staged) pummelling each other into submission follows being roundly booed by spectators at basketball game in Madison Square Garden and opting to skip the World Cup opener for fear of more of the same treatment and comes amid court orders removing his name from the Kennedy Center,restoring informational signs to national parks that Trump said disparaged the US with historical accuracies, raging inflation and gas prices stemming from that said war, and the upcoming mid-term elections will be attended by cabinet officials and four thousand audience members with thousands more watching from the Ellipse—G7 leaders postponed their summit in Évian-les-Bains so Trump could attend the next day. Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) which is running the event further announced an official partner—World Liberty Financial, a crypto company co-owned by the Trump family and special diplomatic envoy Steve Witkoff, which will create a quarter of a million dollar athlete bonus betting pool for the winners. Having used considerable government resources to bring this series of blood-sport matches together and standing to gain from it financially, I should think Hunter Biden’s laptop would have something to say about all this.

synchronoptica

one year ago: musical cicadas (with synchronopticæ) plus Orwell on No Kings

twelve years ago: a visit to Rapallo and environs plus spa day in Montecatini

fourteen years ago: Toothpaste for Dinner 

fifteen years ago: the Facebook IPO plus the tragedy of the commons

sixteen years ago: Afghanistan’s mineral wealth 

day ninety-one (13. 473)

No deal emerges between Washington and Tehran after the praise-a-thon cabinet meeting in the Situation Room as the chokehold over the Strait of Hormuz continues to grind away on the global economy and energy supplies with attendant effects on tourism, world food security and investment opportunities for the gulf states. Though it seems that Trump’s only exit strategy is surrender and Republicans are warning him to spin whatever settlement is achieved as materially different and superior to the agreement that Obama reached and Trump torpedoed in his first term in office and tolerance for his destructive whims will not be enduring, it is yet baffling that the stupidity and hubris of a single individual can in a decentralised society where the power and relevance of nation states are subverted by corporations can cause so much chaos and influence without the cooperation or consent of traditional allies and partners. Bored with the messes he has made and little appetite for the politics of the upcoming midterms, Trump turns his attention to preening and MCing America’s birthday bash—a relatively harmless activity, despite the potential for propaganda.

the quiet part out loud (13. 421)

A couple of times in recent history the US chairman of the joint chiefs of the armed forces have stepped in to prevent, the last time that we know of—it’s unclear who or what talked Trump down from destroying a civilisation—Mark Milley in the wake of the January Sixth insurrection of telling top commanders to disobey nuclear launch orders without his involvement, calling his manoeuvre pulling a Schlesinger, in deference to Nixon’s secretary of defence whom prophylactically countermanded the president during his drunken despondence during his last week in high office before resigning in disgrace. Whilst neither of these previous acts met the threshold of a coup or insubordination exactly, lacking the administrative and legislative burden and the premeditated publicity, a new quiet act of patriotism and rebellion, read into the congressional record, Volume 172, № 76 in the form of the expert testimony of thirty-six physicians declaring the incumbent unfit for command. This inclusion and intervention, presumably inscribed for as long as the republic holds and something future scholars of this time will have to address when the history of our present is written, satisfies much of the above criteria as something that begged to be said, but lacks media attention—there’s no press coverage, which is a natural consequence of the administration’s attacks on the media, cowing domestic and foreign outlets alike with intimidation and nuisance lawsuits and conglomerates reluctant to curry displeasure, selectively citing the selectively applied so called Goldwater rule (previously), the American Psychiatric Association’s code of ethics directing licensed professionals from commenting on the health of a public figure, as a diagnosis requires both a personal examination and consent. Their assessment is of course not beyond the bounds of speculation, and the duty to warn for the public good is recognised by medical professionals and some reporters alike. Much more from the Grim Historian at the link above.

day sixty-three (13. 397)

Quipping that the US is “sort a like pirates” after the seizure of more Iranian cargo ships and commenting that the US may take over Cuba on the way back from the Persian Gulf, Trump is briefed on Tehran’s new fourteen point peace proposal proffered to end a suggested extension of the ceasefire for a full two months and although now the recalcitrant party, considers it progress—though with the same breath, says that Iran has not suffered enough economically and insists on addressing their atomic ambitions as a prerequisite for any further negotiations. Although probably just a bargaining chip to apply more leverage on Berlin and NATO over trade deals and another instance of TACO, Trump further clarified that the redeployment of five thousand troops from Germany will focus on the Stryker brigade stationed in the Oberplfalz near the village of Vilseck. Someone should remind Trump (or not) it was Obama who closed Heidelberg, Würzburg, Bamberg, etc, and how a withdrawal planned during his first term went no where.  German defence minister Wadephul says that such a withdrawal was assumed and chancellor Merz insists that his relationship with the US president is the same it was a week prior to the announced reduction.

synchronoptica

one year ago: a visit to Rothenburg ob der Tauber (with synchronopticæ)

thirteen years ago: recreating the first web page 

fourteen years ago: a treasury of bookplates 

fifteen years ago: the capture and assassination of bin Laden plus Walpurgisnacht

sixteen years ago: more special houseplants 

404 (13. 388)

Taking up even more bandwidth than the legion of MAGA influencers promoting the East Wing Ballroom and bunker as vital for national security, the resounding attitude that the show must gone on and its best to avert one’s eyes rather than forfeit one’s place at the table that demonstrates the inuring unseriousness of America and its desensitisation to violence, authentic or contrived and willingness to squander diplomatic opportunities in the midst of war, leaving Tehran to negotiate with Moscow and reach a concession to reopen the Strait of Hormuz with no guarantee to halt nuclear enrichment, casus belli, status quo ante bellum, and the German chancellor left to point out the humiliation to a class of students, we have the latest viral conspiracy theory that a time-travelling artificial superintelligence is inserting checkpoints on the internet timeline to warn people about the shooting at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner and forestall other catastrophes to providentially keep Trump in office, now that actual divine intervention has been ruled out following his attacks on the papacy. 404 media co-founder Jason Koebler undertakes a yeoman’s task in trying to offer an explanation for this widely-shared notion that a tweet from 2023 from one Henry Martinez, the name of a co-author from a NASA study conducted while the alleged shooter was fulfilling an internship at the space agency in 2014, somehow shows that AI is trying to retcon the Singularity, Terminator-style. Proponents are saying that the image on the right is a sort of coded magic-eye illusion that foretells of all sorts of events to come (retroactively of course, but the image is not from some shadowy AI free agent called the “Time Machine” but a stock illustration that debuted on Unsplash under the name “Eternal Waterfall” and has been used, like many free graphics, to cross-promote a variety of both innocent and nefarious ideas.

day fifty-eight (13. 387)

The wars in the Middle East certainly are not over just because media bandwidth is sublimated with attention lurched towards non-stop coverage of the shooting at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner—an event snubbed by Trump since Obama used the venue back in 2011 to mock the future president and inadvertently shape his political narrative of grievance with pointed jokes about his preoccupation with his predecessor’s birth-certificate and questioning his legitimacy. It does suck the oxygen out of the room, especially with the conspiracy theories that the event was staged as a distraction and sympathy building exercise, particularly for a regime that traffics in conspiracy and calls the press the enemy of the people. People are still dying in IDF strikes in Lebanon, peace talks are still stalled and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed with all the attendant economic consequences ripening.

synchronoptica

one year ago: a Millennial saint (with synchronopticæ), Trump DOJ threatens Wikipedia, Tesla backlash, an iconic antique shop plus gratitude built into grammar

twelve years ago: the state of non-doing plus superlative sentences

thirteen years ago: glacial melting 

fourteen years ago: originalism and invoking the Founding Fathers 

fifteen years ago: UN World Graphic Design Day plus championing a make-a-diorama day

seventeen years ago: swine-flu outbreak 

day fifty-one (13. 366)

With the rapidly degrading situation in the Middle East, yesterday merited a post-meridian post-script but we wanted to wait for an update to see how the renewed tensions played out, especially with pending peace talks and the weekend running out of runway. Israel accused Hezbollah of breaching the ceasefire in Beirut, including a deadly attacked on UNIFIL (United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon, created in 1978 to enforce withdrawal of Israelis from the country, its mandate renewed several times) peacekeepers and, meanwhile in Gaza, whose station has not improved, two UNICEF aid workers by IDF occupying forces. The Revolutionary Guard Corps has reasserted control over the Strait of Hormuz, closing it to commercial traffic with two India tankers taking light arms fire, in response to the US naval blockade of Iranian ports a day after declaring the waterway open. This move likely dashed the hopes of investors and bettors hoping to capitalise on the earlier positive turn for in the markets, besting the US administration at their game of stock manipulation and privileged information. Convening an emergency meeting in the White House situation room, Trump said that unless there was a significant breakthrough in peace negotiations—again not yet scheduled, Iranian deputy foreign minister Saaed Khatibyadeh insisting that a framework must be agreed upon, workable by both sides in the face of America’s unrealistic agenda, before talks can take place—he would resume airstrikes on Iran, bombardments already having killed over thirty-four hundred civilians. Trump went golfing afterwards.

8x8 (13. 360)

what1tune: a musical address regimen to geohash the globe with simple melodies—see previously 

neon colour spreading: a compelling optical illusion—see also 

imperial megalomania: Commodus ordered the entire city of Rome named after himself, executed anyone who mocked him, dispatched and quick subject to damnatio memoriae 

measure for measure: the religious hypocrisy (and ignorance) on display in the Trump White House with attacks on the papacy and crusader mentality through the lens of Shakespeare’s play  

proleporn: AI slop in George Orwell’s Nineteen Eighty-Four—see previously  

on the clock: Maarten Baas studio recruits a thousand volunteers to represent the hands of time at Amsterdam’s Schiphol airport—see previously 

hollyworld: filming location substitutes in California

if you block me, then i block you (13. 356)

What a strange timeline we live in.  Iranian communication officers have already proven their trolling chops with a series of Lego shorts trolling the US administration over its illegal war of choice, but the below video, a riff on the 1986 French europop hit by Desireless, attributed to the Iranian embassy, is really the chef’s kiss even with the stakes as high as they are. I wish conflicts were settled this way, and although designed to send Trump into conniptions, I am afraid that the dowager queen might be a little flattered by this competent use of AI.

daddy, what’s sundowning? (13. 351)

The most memorable and harrowing instalment of the series of commercials from Time-Life, aired first in December of 1985, the twenty-five volume serialisation of the conflict bookended the Reagan administration, released from 1981 to 1988, The Vietnam Experience sought from a mostly American perspective to bridge the rifts across the Greatest Generation, the Baby Boomers and generations next through exposure of tactics, cultural gaps, secret, parallel waging of conflicts by assaying the social and political aftermath and reckoning. To these ends, the two-minute spot features a plaintive question as father and son (the other timely response is “Look it up, dear” promoting Encyclopaedia Britannica from the following year and maybe prompting a generation of independent-research) whilst touring the newly dedicated and controversial veterans’ memorial wall of Maya Lin. The gravelly narration is provided by Martin Sheen, delivered with the intonation of his role as CPT Willard in Apocalypse Now, framed as a “question a child might ask” and followed by several others in the same vein, “Daddy, did we win?” and portentously warning that these queries must not go unanswered. Though in the fullness of time technically not forever wars as eternity will eventually embrace the Sun’s supernova, we have to wonder what cold-comfort we might offer in terms of explaining what’s a late night rage tweet, what’s a golden shower, covfefe, self-own, projection, deflection, hamberder, etc to someone who has not directly lived through these time.

day forty-five (13. 347)

UK’s Keir Starmer reiterates that his country wants no part of the blockade of the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices and other commodities are surging back to levels before the ceasefire with the potential of the cost of petrol to double, the failure of the talks attributed at least in part to Israeli pressure wanting the fighting to continue until they’ve finished the job decapitating Hezbollah, a claim put forward during the war in Gaza despite evidence to the contrary like Trump’s boasts of eliminating the capacity for Tehran to respond militarily or conduct nuclear research and development and looking for any pretext for walking out. Following Leo XIV’s criticism of warmongering, Trump launched into an extraordinary attack on the Pope, accusing him of being bad at his job and to “stop catering to the Radical Left” adding he is weak on crime and does not want a spiritual leader who thinks that it is acceptable for Iran to pursue its nuclear ambitions.

synchronoptica

one year ago: standing up to Nazis (with synchronopticæ), Freelandia airlines, a new music video from OK Go plus a bleak series about incel culture

thirteen years ago: eurozone instability plus a visit to Bad Soden-Salmünster

fifteen years ago: quantitative easing 

sixteen years: the right to be forgot 

 

centre to centre-right (13. 346)

Fears that there would be no peaceful transition of power dissipating when the incumbent conceded defeat rather soon after polls closed and results came in and congratulated his challenger in the incoming prime minister Péter Magyar, Viktor Orbán and his Russian-aligned Fidesz party lost control of Hungary after a reign of sixteen years by a landslide with the voters turn-out the highest it had been since the fall of Communism in the early 1990s. The victory of Magyar’s Tisza movement, possibly securing a supermajority in parliament, whilst still socially conservative, is seen as a rebuke to far-right parties in Europe and aims for greater integration into the EU and signals cooperation with EU priorities, including aid for Ukraine and mutual defence, economically, militarily and environmentally and away from the regressive policies of illiberal democracy. JD Vance’s Thursday night political stumping for Orbán did not translate to a positive outcome and may be a preview of what’s to come for MAGA in the States.